Michael Brendan Dougherty, at Business Insider, provides a pithy and humorous summary of the HHS mandate debate. His conclusion is great:
All right, who’s going to cave?
Hard to say. If a Republican is elected in November, the regulation is going away anyway.
Sometimes in history the Church has caved to governments on matters of principle. And Obama’s re-election looks probable. But, look, there are big pockets of Catholic voters in Nevada, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other swing states. If the Church makes a big deal, there might be good reason for Obama to cave.
And, the Church has survived Nero’s persecution, and Napoleon’s kidnapping of the pope. So, yeah, it can probably outmaneuver some regulations from the Department of Health and Human Services.